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Hugh's Views
Articles about issues that I find interesting; there's no particulary rhyme or reason as to why a topic is covered here. If something does fit neatly into another category, it will likely end up here.
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Thursday, 18 September 2008 00:38 |
I want to touch on the subject of Credit Default Swaps. I talked about those beasts previously. Today's Wall Street Journal has an article on the topic. Here's an excerpt. |
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Wednesday, 17 September 2008 10:11 |
What about jumping in and buying some companies right now? I am holding off on doing anything right now, as there is still craziness out there. I am not sure if what I am watching is even rational. This evening, it's starting to look like global credit is going to seize up again. I have no idea why it's happening; it doesn't make sense. Russia has closed its market, which means the one thing that people need to have to make a rational decision--a price--isn't available. It looks like there is a lack of confidence in the pricing mechanism of assets--stocks included. It would help to explain what's happening out there, why banks appear to prefer to sit on cash and why credit looks like it's grinding to a halt again. It all hints at more volatility in equity markets and companies that are not part of the current crisis are getting caught up--at least their valuations are getting caught up--in this crisis. I am sitting on the sidelines for now. I do expect excellent bargains--for banks, they'll be once in a lifetime--but I am not looking to hit the bottom of the market; I want to wait until the insanity abates. |
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Tuesday, 16 September 2008 17:24 |
So, I see that WaMu was finally give junk status yesterday. I guess we're watching this one unwind step by step. I have to believe that the Fed and Treasuriy are now taking bankers of all types by the scruff of their necks and yelling into their ears what to do next. There were pretty good rumors today about the sale of WaMu assets, but I am surprised they're not more aggressive about selling the performing assets of the company. |
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Monday, 15 September 2008 12:19 |
Aside from commentators on CNBC and the Journal, I don't get a sense that what happened yesterday, September 14, 2008, has hit home. In my opinion, yesterday we witnessed the single most significant event on Wall Street since the Great Crash of 1929. It's amazing that two companies of the caliber of Merrill Lynch and Lehman Brothers should, for want of a better term, disappear. I am reeling at the announcement of the Federal Reserve that they have relaxed their standards for collateral. However, what is just stunning is not only would someone actually ask the Federal Reserve for a bridge loan--and to add insult to injury, an entity that is outside of the regulatory purview of the Board--but that the request was not only consider, but is now being acted upon. |
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Monday, 15 September 2008 11:19 |
Aside from commentators on CNBC and the Journal, I don't get a sense that what happened yesterday, September 14, 2008, has hit home. In my opinion, yesterday we witnessed the single most significant event on Wall Street since the Great Crash of 1929. It's stunning that two companies of the caliber of Merrill Lynch and Lehman Brothers should, for want of a better term, disappear. I am reeling at the announcement of the Federal Reserve that they have relaxed their standards for collateral. However, what is just stunning is not only would someone actually ask the Federal Reserve for a bridge loan--and to add insult to injury, an entity that is outside of the regulatory purview of the Board--but that the request was not only consider, but is now being acted upon. |
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Written by Hugh McManus
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Sunday, 14 September 2008 21:32 |
Here's a simply stunning statement from the Federal Reserve Board |
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Sunday, 14 September 2008 14:40 |
You may have noticed that I am obsessed with banks and the current problems the entire banking industry is facing. I have been reading up on Federal Government Accounting and the assumption of the two GSEs. I answered a question on another board about the fact that 9% of mortgages in the US are in arrears and the impact on the US debt rating caused by placing the two GSEs in conservatorship. I want to post it here too. |
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Sunday, 14 September 2008 14:14 |
You may have noticed that I am obsessed with banks and the current problems the entire banking industry is facing. I have been reading up on Federal Government Accounting and the assumption of the two GSEs. I answered a question on another board about the fact that 9% of mortgages in the US are in arrears, but only about 4% are in serious arrears, and the impact on the US debt rating caused by placing the two GSEs in conservatorship. I want to post it here too. |
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Warning: strftime(): It is not safe to rely on the system's timezone settings. You are *required* to use the date.timezone setting or the date_default_timezone_set() function. In case you used any of those methods and you are still getting this warning, you most likely misspelled the timezone identifier. We selected the timezone 'UTC' for now, but please set date.timezone to select your timezone. in /hermes/bosnacweb08/bosnacweb08az/b29/ipw.wellbeyo/public_html/libraries/joomla/utilities/date.php on line 252
Friday, 12 September 2008 18:21 |
I have been waiting for the following topic to be raised somewhere in the media, perhaps it has and I missed it, but since Freddie and Fannie have been put into conservatorship by the Federal Housing Finance Agency, I think and argument can be raised that the national debt has grown substantially. The two combined guarantee about $5 to $6 trillion in loans. The current debt ceiling, not counting Freddie and Fannie, is $10.6 trillion. It's probably not a big deal, since this new debt is backed, for the most part, by pretty sound assets. There's only a small portion of the Freddie/Fannie portfolio that is problematic. Nonetheless, the debt has grown. I suspect that it's something that will inevitably increase the cost of borrowing for the US government. |
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